Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 1.840637 2.098695 2.381939 2.716223 3.100396 3.528586 4.042735
2025-10-05 1.526695 1.879210 2.298246 2.834438 3.504327 4.316234 5.378877
2025-10-12 1.317017 1.728630 2.251892 2.969049 3.931418 5.185235 6.954128
2025-10-19 1.136601 1.576121 2.168023 3.028916 4.258369 5.964939 8.537667
2025-10-26 0.996819 1.450418 2.093000 3.077978 4.564655 6.748542 10.243447
2025-11-02 0.852713 1.293872 1.947092 2.995656 4.657566 7.224803 11.558417
2025-11-09 0.721364 1.135824 1.773993 2.841277 4.608293 7.463877 12.522041
2025-11-16 0.642218 1.046834 1.693129 2.816585 4.754993 8.024795 14.089370
2025-11-23 0.570482 0.959773 1.602817 2.761022 4.836944 8.480571 15.534181
2025-11-30 0.542742 0.942086 1.624033 2.896439 5.265385 9.592080 18.337056
2025-12-07 0.508435 0.908357 1.612609 2.970401 5.589407 10.554120 21.003456
2025-12-14 0.464885 0.852699 1.555092 2.950629 5.731603 11.187671 23.111006
2025-12-21 0.412371 0.775827 1.452225 2.835870 5.681944 11.456196 24.548375
2025-12-28 0.395753 0.765010 1.472445 2.965544 6.143325 12.828331 28.603252
2026-01-04 0.381808 0.757678 1.498355 3.109942 6.656127 14.385757 33.357575
2026-01-11 0.360597 0.733239 1.487048 3.174484 7.005238 15.638337 37.628863
2026-01-18 0.340236 0.708144 1.471290 3.226908 7.334083 16.893434 42.136577
2026-01-25 0.309782 0.658318 1.397696 3.140813 7.330555 17.369996 44.760441
2026-02-01 0.276497 0.598786 1.296569 2.978750 7.123152 17.322131 45.995087
2026-02-08 0.257165 0.568053 1.255719 2.952902 7.244673 18.108257 49.637692
2026-02-15 0.237341 0.534139 1.204044 2.894552 7.276477 18.669756 52.757100
2026-02-22 0.232813 0.534953 1.232462 3.036927 7.845728 20.731617 60.629865
2026-03-01 0.224247 0.525333 1.235171 3.114698 8.255378 22.426507 67.747056